The first question most ask is “what causes a node outage?” Figure 2 provides a root cause breakdown of failures from the LANL data into human, environment, network, software, hardware, and unknown, with the relative frequency of the high-level root cause categories on the left. Hardware is the single largest source of malfunction, with more than 50% of all failures assigned to this category. Software is the second largest contributor, with around 20% of all failures. The trends are similar if we look at Figure 2(b), which shows the fraction of total repair time attributed to each of the different root cause categories.

It is important to note that the number of failures with undetermined root cause is significant. Since the fraction of hardware failures is larger than the fraction of undetermined failures, and the fraction of software failures is close to that of undetermined failures, we can still conclude that hardware and software are among the largest contributors to failures. However, we cannot conclude that any of the other failure sources (Human, Environment, Network) is actually insignificant.
A second question is “How frequently do node outages occur?” or “How long can an application be expected to run before it will be interrupted by a node failure?” Figure 3(a) shows the average number of node failures observed per year for each of the LANL systems according to the year that each system was introduced into use. The figure indicates that the failure rates vary widely across systems, from less than 20 failures per year per system to more than 1100 failures per year. Note that a failure rate of 1100 per year means that an application running on all the nodes of the system will be interrupted and forced into recovery more than two times per day. Since many of the applications running on these systems require a large number of nodes and weeks of computation to complete, failure and recovery are frequent events during an application’s execution.
One might wonder what causes the large differences in failure rates across the different systems. The main reason for these differences is that the systems vary widely in size. Figure 3(b) shows the average number of failures per year for each system normalized by the number of processors in the system. The normalized failure rates show significantly less variability across the different types of systems, which leads us to two interesting suggestions. First, the failure rate of a system grows in proportion to the number of processor chips in the system. Second, there is little indication that systems and their hardware get more reliable over time as technology changes.
